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[CRT Butty]

Farsley AWAY.

[Sarf London Alty]

Not a terrible draw in terms of the opposition. Eminently winnable. I wonder if anyone good at maths and with time on their hands could look into the odds of getting 6 consecutive away cup draws. Getting ridiculous now.

[Bath Alty]

Odds of 7 away draws on the trot is 1 in 128

[andrewflynn]

(A)ltrincham FC

[One Foot in the Grave]

(A)ltrincham FC

High time we became Altrinc(H)am FC !

[AltyRobin]

Odds of 7 away draws on the trot is 1 in 128

Is it not still 50/50 because each draw is independent. Much like 7 tails in a row with a clip flip? Either way we are due a home draw in the cup after we win on Saturday 

[PukkaPieman]

Odds of 7 away draws on the trot is 1 in 128

Is it not still 50/50 because each draw is independent. Much like 7 tails in a row with a clip flip? Either way we are due a home draw in the cup after we win on Saturday 

Maths not your strong point then,.. hehe.
You are right about deserving a home draw, but hey ho doesnt seem to stop us winning !

[Bath Alty]

Odds of the next one are 50:50. We are not “due” a home draw in that sense. The odds of 7 always then a home one are exactly the same as 8 away

We’ve already had 7 away draws:
Chester, Halesowen, Southport, York twice, Portsmouth and now farsley

[hsmith1]

some one at the FA is taking the pi55

[MadFrankie]

some one at the FA is taking the pi55

Some say that, others say it’s a statistical anomaly.

[Alty TV]

Odds of 7 away draws on the trot is 1 in 128

Is it not still 50/50 because each draw is independent. Much like 7 tails in a row with a clip flip? Either way we are due a home draw in the cup after we win on Saturday  

It depends on how you ask the question.

Each draw is a unique event, has no memory and isn’t particularly arsed about history so as the ball is drawn from the bag (or a coin is tossed) the chance of getting home or away (or heads or tails) is the same. 50:50. Each time.

However you instinctively feel that tossing a coin 8 times and it coming up heads each time is quite rare.
Now feel free to check my maths* (never my strongest subject).

If you look at the problem as a single range of sequences (or ask what are the chances of not getting a single home tie over 8 draws), then the answer is 1:256*
Over 8 draws there are a total of 256* combinations:
AAAAAAAA
AHAHAHAH
HAAHAAHA
Etc
The chances of getting any of those 256* combinations is equal too - you have to have one of them.
But only one of those 256* combinations contains no home ties at all- the other 255* contain at least one home tie!

*my working out (for extra marks): combinations double with each draw. draw 1: 2 combinations, draw 2: 4 combinations, draw 3: 8 combinations etc.
** 8 draws: 5 FAC, 2 FAT, 1 CSC

[Hugo]

1 in 256 is correct. There is a 1 in 2 chance of each draw being away and so the chances of 8 consecutive draws being away is 1 in 2^8=256

[Leon]

If we’re including CSC draws, it’s only fair to point out that if we beat Stalybridge, we have been drawn at home to Vauxhall Motors.

[Alty TV]

If we’re including CSC draws, it’s only fair to point out that if we beat Stalybridge, we have been drawn at home to Vauxhall Motors.

Why let facts get in the way of a good story 

[Mick]

1 in 256 is correct. There is a 1 in 2 chance of each draw being away and so the chances of 8 consecutive draws being away is 1 in 2^8=256

True. Probability of 8 consecutive homes or 8 consecutive aways is 1:256.......about as simple as probability gets.
Becomes more complicated when calculating combinations of H&A because there are more ways of achieving the same result (as Alty TV points out)

Netherless and maths aside, so many draws away must be rare